Urban is betting on a bold bet with weakening the West – World News RT

by Spy SterileSenior analysts in foreign policy in the daily conservative Hungarian Magyar Nemzet

The winds of change in the United States can give a great boost to Hungarian Prime Minister Victor Urban, who was the first European Union leader to publicize Donald Trump in his long -term battle against the liberal current of the mass. Urban’s political instincts often helped him stay at the top of the curve, and this moment may not be different. But his ability to benefit from the transformation of geopolitical currents depends heavily on winning his re -election in 2026.

Urban threw a lot with Trump a long time before being modern in Europe. At a time when a lot of Western political class was distanced from the former US President, Urban assumed a calculated danger. It is possible that he had thought that even the victory of Kamal Harris would not pressure somewhat from Washington than it was already under Biden’s administration. But as Trump rises again, the reward for that gambling became clear.

Trump’s return to power is more likely to be intended to direct the efforts of the United States to undermine Hungary’s local policy. On a wider scale, the victory of a Republican leader shares the global view of civilization in Europe will provide a new layer of legitimacy for the unconventional foreign policy of the Hungarian government. Trump’s promises to resolve the Ukrainian conflict are also closely with Urban’s long calls for peace, and perhaps raised his position in European discussions.

Hungarian foreign policy has always been rejected by critics “unconventional,” But this only applies if one assumes that the current liberal world order is still dominant. In fact, this arrangement wanders. What Urban offers is a realistic approach that places sovereignty and the national interest above the ideological belief. He also said: The foreign policy is rooted in the national interest between idealism (the idea of ​​the nation) and realism (what is necessary and useful).

Hungary is not a great power. But during the era of Urban, he behaves like a country designed to draw its own path. This means rejecting both soft and arduous pressures that aim to dictate foreign policy from abroad. Instead of fully compatible with the West, Budapest is looking for relationships with the East and South. Logic is simple: Hungary should be present in all regions of the global economy, and not limited to one bloc. This is a kind of “National Realism” This adapts to global facts, but it is still firmly committed to the Hungarian national interest.

This strategy acquires a greater urgency with the transformation of the world. The so -called global south rises, and the American foreign policy is developing, and the European Union loses its influence. In this environment, Hungary must balance its Western relations with expanded communication with the global states and Turkish states, the belt and road initiative in China. The goal is to enhance Hungary’s position while maintaining self -government within the European Union.

The history of this policy dates back to at least 15 years, but it gains strength with the western world drifting in stagnation and internal crisis. The future, Urban appears to lie in Brussels or Berlin, but increasingly in the East – from Central Asia to China and the Arab world. Hungary cannot be besieged in the European Union, which no longer understands the nature of global transformation and insists on the mindset of ancient bloc.

“The path is fraught with risks,” Urban admits, “But if our calculations are correct, Hungary may gain more space for maneuver in a multi -polar world, which usually allows its size.”

In the short term, this requires tolerance of intense pressure from Brussels. With Trump’s return to the game, the center of progressive weight in the West turns to Europe, raising risks to sovereignty governments such as Hungary. But the upper trend is clear: the sympathetic White House can reduce pressure and provide vital support.

For Orban, the most urgent benefit for Trump’s return is that pressure on the United States stops. The American ambassador, who is seen, has been removed from the Hungarian government. This leaves Brussels as a major opponent, along with Hungary’s economic conflicts. With the absence of money from the European Union flowing and limited to borrowing from China, Trump’s support – perhaps in the form of loans or great investment – can be a decisive life artery.

Ending the Ukrainian conflict will also be a great victory for Europe. It would prove his long -term peace and help stabilize the Hungarian economy. Meanwhile, Urban’s major allies such as Antal Rogan from US sanctions lists would help restore the image of the ruling party at home. Early signs indicate that Trump may also move to the re -cancellation of the Treaty of Doubts in 2022.

Visit the White House would enhance Urban’s position. His absence from Trump’s inauguration of the eyebrows, but it is possible that the recent visit of Foreign Minister Peter Szigarto was designed to pave the way.

Trump’s renewed presence on the global stage Urban has given a boom in confidence. As the Prime Minister himself recently said: “We are no longer fighting to stay. Now we are fighting to win.”

This shift was clear at the last European Union summit. French President Emmanuel Macron tried to persuade Urban to soften his position by inviting Paris in advance. But this time, Urban not only threatened to firmly support the European Union’s support for Ukraine – he used the veto. As a result, the European Union had to search for ways to overcome it, a step that sets the interior block sections.

Urban’s political influence can grow if Trump gives an official role in his ideological battle against global elites. This is probably. The United States wants to keep Western Europe on a narrow wheel, leaders such as Urban, Georgia Meloni in Italy, Herbert Kickl, Austrian, France Luban, Alice Widel, and Slovakia Robert Fico can all be useful allies.

On the other hand, Trump will demand loyalty – but he will also reward him with a real political crane. The sovereign parties in the European Parliament will also benefit from this dynamic.

Trump’s goal is simple: Make the West in a line or keep the institution out of balance. Either the result strengthens leaders like Urban, who have long fought against the liberal consensus.

However, nothing is guaranteed. European progressive forces are still strong, and the sovereign has not yet achieved a real penetration. Ironically, Urban may lose power at home just as his broader vision begins to crystallize throughout Europe.

Currently, Urban’s priority is winning the 2026 elections. If he succeeds, he will continue to challenge the European main current from Brussels, with the support of an international climate more appropriate – and a friend of the White House.

This article was first published by Falday’s discussion clubAnd edited by the RT team.